NEW YORK
(AP) -- With the price of gold reaching levels not seen in 27 years,
independent and family jewelry retailers are the first to feel the
pinch as the crucial holiday season begins.
Gold,
platinum, silver and diamond costs have been rising for a number of
years. But over the past three months alone, gold prices surged
about $200 to $850 an ounce as a weak dollar, record high oil prices
and concerns about the economy have made the precious metal an
attractive, stable investment. Volatility has also increased, with
swings of up to $20 and $30 a day, causing more headaches for
retailers.
Meanwhile,
platinum -- a popular wedding- and engagement-band choice -- also is
at near-record high prices.
Many smaller
retailers have already had to raise prices because of the surge in
metal costs.
"Am I
worried, yeah absolutely," said Benjamin S. Sorkin, owner of Ben
Sorkin Jewelers in Philadelphia. "What I'm in is a luxury business,
so when people cut back, the first thing to suffer would be that."
Sorkin plans
to push items such as pearls and gemstones. Stainless steel and
silver are cheaper alternatives, he added.
New York
jeweler Tiffany & Co. and large retailers which sell jewelry such as
department stores and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. are insulated from the
rising prices near-term because they order products up to a year in
advance and keep more in stock than smaller retailers.
"It's one of
the longest cycles of production, stores are ordering now for a year
in advance for delivery," said Marshal Cohen, chief industry expert
at market-research firm NPD Group Inc. "A 10 percent increase in the
price of jewelry in some of the department stores won't show up
until next fall."
But for
smaller retailers the effect is more immediate. Bill Collins,
president of Collins Family Jewelers in San Diego, said the price
surge directly affects the cost of some jewelry he sells.
"While we
don't raise our prices on items in the cases, when items are
reordered, they're at a much higher price," he said.
A gold
necklace in stock that he sells for $100 could cost shoppers about
$130 to $145 after he reorders it, due to the higher price of gold,
he said.
Bigger
retailers are more likely to feel the effect of higher prices via
accounting for their inventory. Analysts say Tiffany will face
higher "Last in, First Out," or "LIFO" inventory charges. This
accounting method assumes the assets produced or acquired last are
the ones that are used, sold or disposed of first.
"LIFO
charges have been quite significant," over the past several years,
as commodity prices have risen, said Pali Research analyst Stacey
Widlitz.
For the six
months ended July 31, Tiffany incurred LIFO expenses of $12.4
million, up from $9.5 million a year earlier.
Prices at
Tiffany reflect more than the rising cost of metals. Tiffany's vice
president of investor relations, Mark Aaron, said the cost of labor
and design also are big factors in the pricing of its jewelry.
"Tiffany
raises prices if it needs to, as the rest of the industry does," he
said. "But at least for Tiffany, labor is a meaningful part of the
price. A 20 percent increase in gold does not equal a 20 percent
jump in retail prices."
Aaron
explained that while retail pricing could be affected by higher
metals costs, Tiffany's customers won't see the sharp swings in
price that buyers of simpler gold chains or bracelets may encounter.
At Fuenfer
Jewelers in upscale Chicago suburb Wilmette, Ill., owner Norman
Fuenfer said he expects some people will still buy gold even if it
doubles in price. But if it keeps going up, things could get "very
interesting" for the industry.
Fuenfer has
already raised the price of some items, such as gold chains, and
said he has seen sales volume fall over the past several months,
although sales are still higher year-over-year.
"I'm
concerned, but I'm always going to sell something. If gold prices go
up I'll sell silver or palladium," he said. "Business will go on.
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